Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.293690 1.473876 1.669970 1.899219 2.159901 2.447139 2.787720
2025-11-16 1.011722 1.256104 1.545354 1.912968 2.367910 2.912758 3.615422
2025-11-23 0.860726 1.134148 1.477119 1.938951 2.544970 3.313795 4.364675
2025-11-30 0.741612 1.026092 1.400343 1.928782 2.656335 3.624003 5.011304
2025-12-07 0.641961 0.926694 1.317092 1.891525 2.716096 3.858721 5.566143
2025-12-14 0.558299 0.837149 1.233914 1.839686 2.742369 4.040053 6.052536
2025-12-21 0.498214 0.773466 1.178601 1.818396 2.804915 4.271541 6.624537
2025-12-28 0.469719 0.753075 1.183422 1.884625 3.000586 4.712024 7.545446
2026-01-04 0.424776 0.701867 1.135240 1.862373 3.054415 4.936528 8.145624
2026-01-11 0.400654 0.681090 1.132003 1.909752 3.220884 5.348585 9.078489
2026-01-18 0.370911 0.647774 1.104796 1.914033 3.314911 5.648217 9.847756
2026-01-25 0.339333 0.608086 1.062982 1.888876 3.355228 5.859016 10.480132
2026-02-01 0.302740 0.558878 1.005145 1.839123 3.363703 6.042590 11.132435
2026-02-08 0.278825 0.530397 0.981681 1.849979 3.484738 6.441440 12.225958
2026-02-15 0.259839 0.508614 0.967465 1.875199 3.632866 6.900632 13.474594
2026-02-22 0.238440 0.479711 0.936755 1.865361 3.712546 7.238705 14.525011
2026-03-01 0.216357 0.446935 0.895091 1.829328 3.736548 7.471105 15.389568
2026-03-08 0.195224 0.413700 0.848990 1.779192 3.726318 7.633766 16.127582
2026-03-15 0.179469 0.389809 0.819055 1.758601 3.773468 7.913947 17.133487
2026-03-22 0.173404 0.385730 0.829197 1.822655 4.003622 8.589497 19.041310
2026-03-29 0.160053 0.364393 0.800914 1.801134 4.047534 8.877613 20.138110
2026-04-05 0.153607 0.357687 0.803297 1.846956 4.243301 9.508590 22.056423
2026-04-12 0.144325 0.343537 0.787897 1.851097 4.345488 9.943141 23.571927